Will Coronavirus Go Away By Itself? Explained
Last few weeks have brought a welcome relief from Covid-19 with the announcement of arrival of multiple vaccines with high efficacy rates. Countries like the US, UK have even started inoculating their citizens against the novel coronavirus. While this does not mean that the pandemic will ‘end’ anytime soon, people have finally started seeing a light at the end of the tunnel, which at a point of time had seemed as if it would never end and worse, had become unbearable.
The Indian Government however hasn’t started vaccinating it’s people yet. The vaccines that are currently being used elsewhere (Pfizer, Moderna) are not feasible as their cost per dose is comparatively high and they require cold storage facilities that India lacks. The Government has long set it’s eyes on a couple of other candidates: One by Oxford-AstraZeneca that The Serum Institute is manufacturing and one by Bharat Biotech called Covaxin. There are others as well but these two are likely to be the Government’s chief weapons against Covid-19 at least in the beginning.
What we are also seeing is the number of cases in India going down everyday. From a peak of above 1 lakh detections per day in September, we are down to below 25,000. What’s better is the news that according to a report 60% of people in India has already been infected, which means things will probably keep getting better and we will probably turn out to be a rare nation to not see a second peak in number of cases. This begs the question: Will India be able to effectively end Covid-19 without major help from vaccines?
If the above mentioned report is accurate, we are close to the level of infection rate that majority of the experts say is required for herd immunity (60–70% of the entire population). Herd Immunity is achieved when most of the population has either been infected or vaccinated, as a result of which the rest of the population receives indirect protection from the disease. It should be noted that this number varies depending on whom you ask. Recently, Dr. Fauci, the face of US pandemic response, said the number could be as high as 90%.
If that is the case then we will need help of vaccines to get there. There are a few other things as well that could pose a problem in our journey to getting rid of Covid-19:
There are people who do not trust vaccines. Then there are people of Muslim faith who do not consider the vaccines halal. These matters should be effectively dealt with.
There’s no consensus among scientists regarding re-infections yet. Could it turn out to be a potential roadblock?
Recently, a new strain of Coronavirus emerged in UK. It remains to be seen if the current vaccines are effective in dealing with it. It’s possible that another new strain will emerge and current vaccines won’t be of any help.
It is clear that we are not yet in a position to declare that we would be getting rid of Covid-19 in near future. Therefore, it is to out great advantage that we have been able to come up with vaccines in such a short time.
Coming to the question of Coronavirus going away by itself in India, there’s no certainty even though the infection rate is quite high. It’s entirely possible that tomorrow we will be dealing with a completely new challenge that we are not equipped to deal with.
We can only hope that the Government starts vaccinating the citizens as soon as possible (after following all requisite scientific procedures of course), and the people continue to stay alert.
Always remember to wear mask and maintain social distancing.
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